Monday, February 27, 2012

The Weekly Kevin Martini – information on where Raleigh Mortgage Rates

The Weekly Kevin Martini – information on where Raleigh Mortgage Rates

Last week there was good news & there was bad news – what did it mean for Raleigh Mortgage Rates?

On Friday as Consumer Sentiment rose to 75.3 & that is good news. This was the best level since February of 2011 however this news was tempered by the rise in oil prices that we have been seeing.

Folks, there is a ‘ying’ & a ‘yang” to higher oil prices…on the ying side of the equation — high oil prices are not very good for the economy, as consumers have to put more of their dollars into their gas tanks…meaning they have less to spend elsewhere like the mall. Now high oil prices are also inflationary as the added shipping and material costs apply upward price pressures on Producer or Wholesale goods that either have to be absorbed by the producer, thus hurting profits and the ability to expand or hire. Or the added costs get passed onto to the consumer…a la a rise in consumer inflation.

So that is the ying – what is the yang to higher oil prices? High oil prices could actually be good news for Raleigh Mortgage Rates, as the dampening effect on economic growth produces a sluggish economic environment in which Bonds (including Mortgage Bonds, to which Raleigh Home Loan Rates are tied) thrive. This is an important topic to continue watching in the weeks and months ahead.

Between some of this uncertainty from overseas being lifted, a lower unemployment rate, and better than expected economic reports, Raleigh Mortgage Rates have struggled to improve beyond some of the best levels seen over the past two weeks.

Raleigh Mortgage Rates remain near historic lows, and now continues to be a great time to purchase or refinance a home. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you.

This week there will be plenty of economic reports to watch for.

• Pending Home Sales will be released on Monday

• Durable Orders will be delivered on Tuesday. This report gives a look at consumer spending for products that are expected to last at least three years.

• Consumer Confidence will be released on Tuesday.

• The Chicago PMI & the ISM Index will be released on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.

• The all-important Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report comes on Wednesday.

• Weekly Initial Jobless Claims will be released on Thursday.

• Finally, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) report will be released on Thursday. This is the Fed’s favorite gauge of inflation.

A Kevin Martini Fact to Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and Raleigh Mortgage Rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result.

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Raleigh Mortgage Rates are low however Raleigh rents are increase – is now a great time to buy a home in Raleigh?

Raleigh Mortgage Rates are low however Raleigh rents are increase – is now a great time to buy a home in Raleigh?

These 2 charts prove that NOW is a great time to buy a home. We have declining rates & rising rents.

The first chart shows that Raleigh Mortgage Rates were over 5% this time last year, today a well qualified buyer can get less than 4%…the bottom chart shows that on average, Rent has increased over 7.5% since 2009and is projected to increase another 8% by 2014! Eventually rates will rise & affect a buyers affordability.

The Kevin Martini Group @ SunTrust Mortgage

Saturday, February 18, 2012

The Weekly Martini – information from Kevin Martini with SunTrust Mortgage on Raleigh Mortgage Rates

The Weekly Martini – information from Kevin Martini with SunTrust Mortgage on Raleigh Mortgage Rates

Last week there was a string of positive economic reports…news out of Greece & hints that inflation is heating up all worked together to impactRaleigh Home Loan Rates.

Here is the Kevin Martini Group at SunTrust Mortgage breakdown… In the housing arena, Housing Starts came in better than expected, while both the New York Empire State Index & the Philadelphia Fed Index reported positive manufacturing news. There was also decent labor market news, as Weekly Initial Jobless Claims dropped by 13,000 in the latest week to 348,000 (folks, this is the lowest level since March 2008)…and there is more -→ Retail Sales rose in January by 0.4%.

The frequent readers of The Weekly Kevin Martini know that strong economic news often cause money to flow out of Bonds & into Stocks, as investors hope to take advantage of gains. That’s partly what caused Bonds (including Mortgage Bonds, to which Raleigh Home Loan Rates are tied) to worsen late last week.

But the news that inflation was heating up put some pressure on Bonds &Raleigh Mortgage Rates. Now, the Fed is claiming that inflation is moderating, the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which strips out volatile food and energy, rose to its highest levels since October 2008. However, the wholesale measuring Core Producer Price Index (PPI) rose double the expectations of 0.2%, coming in at 0.4%. Any hints of inflation can serve to spook Bond investors – causing both Bonds and Raleigh Mortgage Rates to worsen – as inflation can reduce the value of fixed investments like Bonds. This is one story to keep a close eye on in the weeks ahead.

The drama in Greece is another key story to monitor, as it also impacted Bonds and Raleigh Home Loan Rates last week. Greece sent the markets into the weekend with assuring messages that a deal for them to avoid default is close, and this sense of optimism weighed on Bonds and Raleigh Mortgage Rates. Bonds & Raleigh Mortgage Rates have benefitted from all the uncertainty in Greece, as investors have seen our Bond Market as a safe haven for their money. Time will tell whether this uncertainty and safe haven trading will continue.

At the end of the day, NOW is a great time to purchase or refinance, as Raleigh Mortgage Rates remain near historic lows. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you.

The forecast next week is light & the market will be closed on Monday due to Presidents’ Day. Now, even a light week will bring some data – here is what is happening…

• On Wednesday Existing Home Sales will be released, followed by the New Home Sales report on Friday. The reports come after last week’s positive Housing Starts data.
• Thursday brings the weekly Initial Jobless Claims Report, which has steadily declined this year to a more job-friendly level.
• On Friday, the Consumer Sentiment Report will be released.

In addition to those reports, a number of news stories may move the markets, including additional news out of Greece, the Treasury Department’s auction of $99 Billion worth of government securities, and movement in the Stock Market. All of those news stories have the potential to negatively impact the Bond Market, depending on how they develop.

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and Raleigh Home Loan Rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result.

Saturday, February 11, 2012

The Weekly Kevin Martini – Predications…Expectations…Guidance on Raleigh Mortgage Rates

The Weekly Kevin Martini – Predications…Expectations…Guidance on Raleigh Mortgage Rates

Last week there was not a ton of reports however the reports that came out were impactful & there was a ton of news … the news played a role withRaleigh Mortgage Rates.

First on a local front we saw local data on January 2012. Folks, the market got off to a “RED HOT” start in January. When looking at the Triangle Multiple Listings (a.k.a. TMLS)…in Wake, Durham, Orange & Johnston Counties — Pending sales were up 30% & closed sales were up 7…and there is more…yes more! Overall (i.e. new home inventory & re-sale inventory) DECREASED 23%!

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke was back on Capitol Hill last week, re-affirming his stance on keeping interest rates low through 2014. Mr. Bernanke said that high unemployment continues to weigh on the housing markets, due to the high number of people who remain out of the labor force or are under-employed. With last week’s Initial Jobless Claims coming in at 358,000, lower than the 370,000 expected, there is some good news when it comes to the labor market: It is improving, but very slowly.

Then in the news was the an agreement had been finalized with five large banks to settle alleged foreclosure abuses, including the infamous “robo signing.” The $25 Billion deal is the largest government vs. business settlement since the tobacco lawsuits back in 1998. The deal is expected to include $1.5 Billion in cash payments to borrowers who were foreclosed upon between September 2008 and December 2011, but the larger part of the settlement amount is being directed to potentially help thousands of homeowners who are presently current on their loans but owe more than their homes are worth.

Folks, it will take some time for the details to be written and released…I and the entire Kevin Martini Group here at SunTrust Mortgage will be watching this story closely & as more details are forthcoming we will let you know in future edition of The Weekly Martini.

Also in the news last week was the Europe…now this uncertainty in Europe has led to continued safe haven trading in our Bond Markets, Bonds andRaleigh Mortgage Rates worsened last week as Stocks are off to their best start to the year since 1987. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at its highest level since May of 2008. Now with the Fed continuing to underwrite the economic recovery, it is my opinion, we should expect higher Stock prices still – and this could continue to weigh on Bonds and Raleigh Home Loan Rates over time.

The bottom line is that Raleigh Mortgage Rates remain near historic lows & now is a great time to purchase or refinance. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you.

Now…THIS WEEK has week several releases scheduled.

• Tuesday brings a look at the Retail Sales Report for January.

• We’ll get a double dose of manufacturing news with the Empire State Index on Wednesday, followed by the Philadelphia Fed Index on Thursday.

• Also on Wednesday, the FOMC Minutes from the Fed’s January meeting will be released.

• We’ll also get a double dose of inflation news with the wholesale measuring Producer Price Index on Thursday, followed by the Consumer Price Index on Friday.

• Also on Thursday, another Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Report will be released, plus will get a read on the housing market with Housing Starts and Building Permits.

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and Raleigh Home Loan Ratesimprove, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result.

Sunday, February 5, 2012

The Weekly Martini – information on Raleigh Home Loan Rates & Raleigh Real Estate

The Weekly Martini – information on Raleigh Home Loan Rates & Raleigh Real Estate

This past Friday, the Jobs Report showed 243,000 jobs created, which was much better than expected – I was impressed with the fact that 257,000 private jobs were created — that was much higher than expected. There were upward revisions to November & December added another 60,000 jobs to what was previously reported for those months…adding to the euphoria was a 0.2% decline in the Unemployment Rate, bringing it to 8.3%…the lowest since February 2009.

Unemployment news was not the only good new last week — there was other good news to note last week as well: The Commerce Department reported that Personal Incomes rose in December by 0.5%, above expectations & well above the 0.1% reported in November. This marked the largest increase in nine months!

So……what does all of this mean for the housing market and Raleigh home loan rates?
While Bonds and Raleigh home loan rates did worsen on the good Jobs Report news (remember good economic news often causes money to flow out of Bonds and into Stocks, as investor try to take advantage of gains),Raleigh home loan rates remain near historic best levels. In addition, the problems in Europe remain…and as uncertainty reemerges, US Bonds (including Mortgage Bonds, to which Raleigh Mortgage Rates are tied) will benefit.

The takeaway from all of last week’s news is that the pace of improvement in the labor market is choppy. But the trend is improving over time & this is welcome news for the struggling housing market because as people feel more secure in their jobs, they are more willing to consider making major purchases like a home.

The bottom line is that now is a great time to purchase or refinance. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you.

There are just two economic reports due for release this week & with earnings season wrapping up, the Stock and Bond markets will be battling over investing dollars.

• Thursday brings the weekly Initial Jobless Claims Report. Last week people filing for first-time claims fell by 12,000 to 367,000, an encouraging sign now that claims have fallen below that dangerously high level of 400,000.
• On Friday, we’ll see the first reading on Consumer Sentiment for February.

In addition, the Treasury will sell a total of $72 Billion in Notes & Bonds this week.

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and Raleigh home loan rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result.


Thursday, February 2, 2012

How to Successfully Build your Credit Score by Kevin Martini

How to Successfully Build your Credit Score by Kevin Martini

It is vitally important to have good credit today. Not only does it determine the interest rate you will pay when you buy a car or buy a home in Raleigh, but a good credit history is also a factor when you are applying for a job, renting an apartment, obtaining car insurance rates, applying for a credit card or securing a mortgage. What may seem like a tiny mistake to you, can actually drag you down for many years. One late payment, maxed out credit cards, or taking out several loans at the same time all appear to be minor mishaps, however, the credit bureaus view them as a black mark on your credit report and creditors respond accordingly.

It is not that hard to establish and keep good credit, especially if you are just starting out. Here are the Kevin Martini simple rules — follow & your credit will sparkle.

Check your credit report

Before anything else, you want to see what creditors are saying about you. Do this by checking with the three major bureaus:Equifax, Experian and Trans Union. Credit reports are used to create a credit score, which is a three-digit number lenders typically used to gauge your creditworthiness. Scores range from 350 to 850 and lenders respond best when the score is over 720. Lenders also may look at the report itself, as may the landlords, employers and insurance companies who use credit to evaluate applicants.

Establish checking and savings accounts

Lenders view checking and savings accounts as signs of stability, yet many people overlook this simple thing. Opening an account is also one of the few things you can do as a minor to start building a financial history. While you can’t get a credit card in your own name until you’re 18 and can be legally held to a contract, many banks have no problem letting you open a bank account.

Understand the basics of credit scoring

A basic knowledge of credit scoring will help you build your score. Two of the most important factors in building your score are:

  • Whether you pay your bills on time.
  • How much of your available credit you actually use.

It’s absolutely essential that you pay all your bills on time. All it takes is a single missed payment to trash your credit score — and it can take seven years for the effects to completely disappear.

You also don’t want to max out any of your credit cards, or even get close. You will get the best possible credit score and prevent yourself from getting over your head in debt if you keep your credit balances to less than 30% of your credit limits. (This means if you have a $3,000 limit your balance should stay below $1,000.)

And remember, you don’t need to carry a balance on a credit card to have a good credit score. Paying your bill off in full is the best way to keep your finances in shape and build your credit at the same time.

Piggyback on someone else’s good credit

The fastest way to establish a credit history can be to “borrow” another’s record, either by being added to a credit card as an “authorized” or joint user or by getting someone to co-sign a loan for you. Keep in mind though it is a two edged sword. You can gain good credit, however if either of you default, both parties suffer. (The co-signer has basically promised to make good on this account, so any delinquencies will show up on her credit report as well.)

Keep in mind that even if you get added to someone’s credit card, you may not be able to piggyback on his or her credit. Some credit issuers won’t report authorized users to the credit bureaus, particularly if the user is not married to the original card holder. If the point is to give you a credit history, the person who’s adding you as an authorized user should call the issuer and ask how (or if) your status as a user will be reported.

Apply for a secured credit card

If you can’t get a regular credit card, apply for the secured version. These require you to deposit money with a lender and your credit limit is usually equal to the deposit.

You’ll want to screen your card issuer carefully because there are a lot of bad guys in this particular niche of the credit world. Some charge outrageous application or annual fees and really high interest rates.

You may also call my office for a list of cards I recommend. Ideally, the card you pick would:

  • Have no application fee and a low annual fee
  • Convert to a regular, unsecured credit card after 12 to 18 months of on-time payments
  • Be reported to all three credit bureaus.

If the issuer doesn’t report to the credit bureaus, the card won’t help build your credit history.

Get a finance company card

Gas companies and department stores usually use finance companies, rather than major banks, to handle their credit transactions. These cards don’t do as much for your credit score as a bank card (Visa, MasterCard, Discover, etc.), but they’re usually easier to get.

Again, don’t go overboard. One or two of these cards is enough. If you get many more, you may find that later in your life these accounts could prevent you from getting the highest possible credit score. That’s not a reason to avoid them completely, because right now they’ll do you some good. Just don’t apply for half a dozen.

Get an installment loan

To get the best credit score, you need a mix of different credit types including revolving accounts (credit cards, lines of credit) and installment accounts (auto loans, personal loans, mortgages).

Once you’ve used plastic responsibly for a year or so, consider applying for a small installment loan from your credit union or bank. Keeping the duration short — no more than a year or two — will help you build credit while limiting the amount of interest you pay.

Apply for credit while you’re a college student

There’s no easier time to get a card than while you’re a college student. Lenders are willing to take risks with you that they won’t once you graduate, probably because they know that your parents’ willingness to bail you out will end once you get your diploma.

Be careful, though. Look for a card with a low or nonexistent annual fee and low interest rates. For now, just get one: Opening a slew of credit accounts in a short period of time can make you look like a risky customer.

Use revolving accounts lightly but regularly

For a credit score to be generated, you have to have had credit for at least six months, with at least one of your accounts updated in the past six months.

Using your cards regularly should ensure that your report is updated regularly. It also will keep the lender interested in you as a customer. If you get a credit card and never use it, the issuer could cancel the account. Just remember the credit tips mentioned earlier:

  • Don’t charge more than 30% of the card’s limit.
  • Don’t charge more than you can pay off in a month. Keep in mind, you don’t have to pay interest on a credit card to get a good credit score, and it’s a smart financial habit to pay off your credit cards in full each month.
  • Make sure you pay the bill, and all your other bills, on time.